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Friday, June 30, 2006

Looking Ahead- Reflections on the 3Q

By Yaser Anwar of Equity Investment Ideas


The markets are entering a period of seasonal vulnerability.

The third quarter is generally a weak one for stocks. In the period after World War II, the S&P 500 has posted an average loss of 0.1% between July and September.

Since 1928, the average third-quarter gain for the “500” has been only 1.1%. Market upturns generally resume in earnest in the fourth quarter, which has, historically, been the strongest.

The Standard & Poor’s Investment Policy Committee target for the “500” by year-end remains 1385.

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